3-Line Results: Further Analysis
I have some more analysis to add on the 3-Line Quiz respondents. First, the data is available for download in Excel form here.

This is a graphic to show the frequency of each score, per line. Click to see the full size.


Like I said in the last post, the economics line had the most variety and the biggest spread in results. The other two were more condense, especially social. The social line saw about half of the respondents score republican, which as I've figured the test is around the US mainstream (that, or radical-leaning). Since it had the most variety, I used the Cap/Soc line to analyze the rest of the results against.

This PivotChart is therefore organized first by CapSoc results along the top, by column, and LibPop and then RadCon are along the side, by row. This is the easiest way to see how different those of different economic viewpoints scored on the other two lines. If RadCon or LibPop had been along the top, there would have been even less of a spread and therefore less to learn.



I'll start off with the economic scores and analyze the correlations. As I said, the economic scores had the greatest spread of the 3 lines; moderates had the poorest showing on this line (both comparing the other Econ scores and comparing to the other lines) and free marketeers edged out anarcho-capitalists for the plurality of respondents.

First: anarcho-capitalists. They are overwhelmingly correlated with anarchists and libertarians; those getting an AnCap econ score almost always got a libertarian or anarchist legal score. Out of 61 AnCaps, 38 scored anarchist and 20 libertarian. That isn't surprising; it means that those favoring extensive economic freedom want extensive legal freedom as well. The three outliers are either jokes, mistakes or very weird people (especially so for whoever scored AnCap-Fascist-Autocrat).

The AnCaps averaged lower scores on the societal line. While over a third scored democrat, slightly more than that scored republican. Almost a fifth scored radical-leaning. Part of this spread is likely due to the nature of the RadCon line; scoring highly on the radical line can require viewpoints like anti-clericalism, feminism, and other issues that tend to be at odds with libertarianism.

The 66 Free Marketeers had the highest correlation with legal libertarian; two-thirds of FMs scored libertarian. In fact, FM-Lib was a more common score than any other two-score combination; FM-Lib-republican was the most common three-score combo in the test, accounting for 11.2% of all respondents. FMs continued the downward trend on the RadCon line that we saw with the AnCaps; FMs had the highest relation to Republicans, followed by Radical-Leaners. More FMs scored as conservative-leaner than democrat.

So between the AnCaps and the FMs, the two most common econ scores, we can already tell that the three lines tend to correlate. If you're a little more moderate on the economic line, you're more likely to be more moderate on the other lines. Both AnCaps and FMs tended to get lower scores on the RadCon line, while still remaining decidedly on the radical side.

Surprisingly, the capitalist-leaners and the socialist-leaners both had fairly similar spreads on the LibPop line; for both, libertarian was the highest score, followed by liberal-leaner. Those scoring planner were twice as likely to score liberal-leaning than libertarian. Not enough people scored Communist to get much out of the responses; of those who did score, however, as many scored Fascist as Libertarian.

So clearly, as one goes from AnCap to Commie, the average legal score drops as well - though those one either side of economic moderate scored roughly the same (proportionally) on the LibPop line.

If you go to the Excel data and fiddle with the data (I used the PivotChart and switched it to put RadCon across the top, CapSoc on the left and LibPop inside of it) you'll see an unexpected correlation. Those scoring Democrat were most likely to score AnCap (21 out of 47) than any other economic score. Those scoring republican were almost twice as likely to be on the capitalist side of the econ line than either moderate or socialist. Even the radical-leaners were more likely free marketeer than any other econ score. Does this mean that progressive-mindedness is equivalent to economic freedom? Well, probably a much better answer is that those taking the test were just likely to be libertarian-leaning anyway. But at the least it shows that being capitalist doesn't make you socially conservative or backward.

It's also important to point out that a large part of the RadCon line is voting, elections and the like - so it means that free market ideals and democratic values are compatible. Of course, few outside of socialist circles or Europe try to argue that capitalism is inherently undemocratic.

So there you go - some preliminary findings of the data. Be warned: this is still a relatively small sample, and the test itself may need adjustments. Try it yourself.

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. 3-Line Results: Further Analysis
  2. 3-Line Results
3-Line Results
After compiling 250 results from the 3-Line Quiz, I've got some preliminary data. Those gifted in Excel and the curious are free to download it here. Just remember the legal stuff I've added:

The 3-Line Quiz and all associated models, questions and data are the intellectual property of www.neo-libertarian.com and of Chris Welsch. Any non-commercial usage is authorized provided credit is given to the author, Chris Welsch, and to www.neo-libertarian.com.

This is in part after finding out that some guy took my test and put it on OKCupid. More to the point, though, I plan to eventually make a living as an author/academic in this sub-field; I'd like to make sure that I'm not doing work that others will steal credit for.

Here's the scores for each line (remember, each quiz-taker gets 3 scores, one per line).

ECONOMICS #
anarcho-capitalists 61
free marketeers 66
capitalist-leaners 36
economic moderates 8
socialist-leaners 34
planners 31
communists 14
total 250

The AnCaps and Free Marketeers dominated the results, with over half of all test-takers getting one or the other. Obviously this is skewed by the fact that libertarians are likely to frequent this site. Aside from the shocking fact that some people scored Communist, it's intriguing that moderate was the least common score. That's probably in part because the politically moderate are also likely to be the politically apathetic. It's also likely that the test was successful in pulling some hint of bias (either way) and shunted self-professed moderates into either of the Leaner categories.


LAW #
anarchists 49
libertarians 106
liberal-leaners 51
legal moderates 18
populist-leaners 15
authoritarians 4
fascists 7
total 250

Libertarians trounced this category, and together the three liberal scores account for over 80% of all scores. Anyone scoring below moderate has some definite authoritarian leanings, well beyond the normal scope of US politicians. Even Democrats should generally score liberal-leaning or moderate. If they don't, then it's my fault and the test needs to be altered slightly for being too strict there. The fact that liberalism won so heavily, though, suggests it's fine in that regard.


SOCIETY #
democrats 47
republicans 124
radical-leaners 50
social moderates 9
conservative-leaners 15
feudalists 3
autocrats 2
total 250

Even moreso than in the legal section, the societal section should not see more than a few Americans scoring less than radical-leaning. The bottom of this chart requires a strong belief in social hierarchy, generally including racism, misogyny, and socio-religious fervor. 'Conservatives' in the vernacular sense should NOT want to score conservative on this test, despite what one distressed commenter yelled at me about. Americans today almost all profess to believe in social equality, whether right or left.

Personally, I score AnCap, anarchist, republican on this test.

Try it yourself. Please don't forget to report it.

I'll have much more analysis later, possibly including graphs or PivotCharts. I'll also post the PivotTable, but for now you can download it and see for yourself.

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. 3-Line Results: Further Analysis
  2. 3-Line Results
3-Line Quiz On OKCupid
OKCupid is a famous site for tests of all sorts. Apparently since some time last year my 3-Line Quiz has been on OKCupid under some guy's user name. It looks like he changed it around at points, but left the images, the format and the questions mostly intact (without hotlinking the images, at least). I'm not insulted, though it'd be nice to get credit. I e-mailed OKCupid and asked them to give me credit or take it down, though I'd much prefer they leave it up. Already over 1700 people have taken it there (you need to register for free to take it).
Brown for SCOTUS
I have to restate my support for Janice Rogers Brown after seeing this post yesterday from Bernstein at the Volokh Conspiracy. He pointed out that a lot of bloggers were really hoping for her nomination, even if it seemed an unlikely confirmation.

While we shouldn't expect orthodox anarcho-capitalist rhetoric and decisions from her track record, but she has a good grasp on the decades-long decline of the Supreme Court. She sees its failures in a broader and more fundamental context than vulgar social trends to the left (or right).

The courts, especially the Supreme Court, often ignore or downplay the Bill of Rights, especially the 2nd and 4th Amendments. The right to property, given explicit protection in the 5th and 14th Amendments and implicit protection by the 4th and 9th Amendments, has been cut from the herd of constitutional rights and allowed to be repeatedly trampled by all levels of government. I believe that Janice Rogers Brown has a real grasp on these long-term problems.

While social issues like gays and religion animate a lot of politicians on both sides, the real issues of our natural and constitutional rights are far more important. I think Janice Rogers Brown is one of the best nationally-prominent judges to bring a libertarian perspective to the court.

She might not ever get confirmed, but just calling the New Deal "our own socialist revolution" puts her miles above other candidates.
IFC Kicked Out By Pataki
The World Trade Center Memorial is back to step one, after Pataki kicked out the IFC. Tons of people complained, including friends and family of 9/11 victims. The argument is simple: the International Freedom Center was going to discuss an important subject, but ultimately the site itself should be dedicated simply to mourning and remembrance, and a 'discussion of freedom' seems a little bit like a ploy to blame the US or to say that 9/11 was one of the tamer attacks on freedom. That's just not acceptable.

And it appears that the IFC people may have actually been attempting just that, since they've decided to cancel the project despite all the efforts put into it. They could've simply found somewhere else to do it, but if it wasn't distracting attention from the graves of the murdered I guess they aren't interested.

This means that questionable and arguably disrepectedful memorial designs have now been changed in both Manhattan and Pennsylvania due largely to Internet opposition. We should be glad that we live in a country where public opinion is relevant on matters like these.
"Climate" And "Carbon" Are Different Words
Science time, people. In today's lesson, Joel Makower at Huffington Post learns that there's a major difference between "carbon-neutral" and "climate-neutral."

It's obvious that Joel Mankower, whose bio credits him as "a well-respected voice on business, the environment, and the bottom line" and "a writer and advisor on corporate sustainability practices," plays a little loose with his terms. Perhaps for rhetorical variety, he uses the terms "climate-neutral," "CO2-free," and "carbon-neutral" interchangeably. Obviously these are political jargon and not scientific terms. A CO2-free environment would be impossible there since human bodies naturally exhale it.

Carbon-neutral is a term, mostly political and social in nature, describing a person, place or group that does not add (or subtract) carbon from the local or global environment. Of course, that's an awfully high bar that involves not only a total lack of carbon pollution from a factory, but also from using cars or other devices that expel carbon. But the relevant sense - the sense where it's used to impede developing economies - is eliminating industrial carbon pollution. Never mind that animals release greater amounts of more powerful greenhouse gases like methane into the air, of course, because carbon is chosen less for its effects and more for its producers (industry).

Climate-neutral, though, is an even more social term that's probably unable to be measured. Even a total elimination of carbon pollution from factories and from cars wouldn't make us climate-neutral. Why? Because of the urban heat island effect.

Urbanization causes heat, because of how cement and other building materials absorb and retain heat and the way that buildings (especially tall ones) retain heat near the planet's surface. Even if there weren't any cars or people, a large city would be at least a few degrees warmer due to roads, parking lots, buildings, skyscrapers and so forth.

Land use is probably the greatest way humans can affect the temperature of the Earth unintentionally. Its effect is local, but still quite measurable. Urban areas have the greatest increase due to land use, and the areas directly around them get residual changes (such as measurably longer growing seasons in the heat 'shadow' next to a city). Semi-urban and suburban areas have less of an increase, because they have fewer skyscrapers, but all that asphalt still absorbs and retains a lot of heat. Even simple agricultural land is warmer because trees (natural shade) are removed and replaced with crops that provide far less cover from the sun. Uncultivated 'wilderness' is the coolest, having the least land use.

So Volvo's factories being 'carbon-neutral,' as in the linked Mankower post, are a world away from being 'climate-neutral.' In point of fact, they AREN'T carbon-neutral (unless employees, distributors and service/repair personnel travel there in non-carbon-fueled vehicles), but even if they were, the parking lot and building are contributing a lot of heat to the area, and are blocking the way for some nice, cool, shady trees to be planted.

I'd add that the heat island effect is not only demonstrated (unlike the theory that carbon emissions are going to warm the atmosphere and eventually the surface) but it's far more relevant to climate than carbons.
Political Compass
Some of the people who reported scores on the 3 Line Quiz asked me what I think of the Political Compass test.

First, the good points.

1) It correctly acknowledges that a lot of "right-wingers" like the neo-fascistic National Front in France and british National Party in the UK are actually on the left side of the economic spectrum. This is all the more impressive since the creators of the test are themselves socialists.

2) It's widely known on the Internet on chat boards and forums. That in itself is valuable as a way to compare and contrast scores between people.

3) It has a lot of questions and covers a lot of bases. Broadness is a good way to get a more accurate result, and can even help compensate for bad testing methodology.

The bad points.

1) Being written by socialists, let alone British anarcho-socialists, really affects the test. First of all, just look at their highly subjective rankings of real-world politicians. The US 2004 Election rankings put Badnarik only slightly to the right of Bush and slightly less libertarian than Nader - despite the fact that Badnarik is at least ten times the capitalist Bush is and Nader supports a host of government interventions (gun rights comes to mind). So the test is highly subjective. The New Zealand 2005 Election rankings put ACT slightly to the right of National, even though National has more members in the big-government Muldoon tradition than the modern-conservative Brash tradition. There are a lot of other complaints I have in this vein, but I've illustrated this point.

2) The left-right line is awfully subjective and is defined in terms of how socialists see the world. Almost invariably, center-left parties that even somewhat embrace a Third Way system are considered center-right economically by the test creators. Now, this is less of a problem in the actual test itself, which seems to do a pretty good approximation of left-right economic dynamics and making sure center-leftists still score on the left side of things.

3) Milton Friedman and the US Libertarian Party are given as examples of right-wing anarchism (along with Ayn Rand) but in their depictions the test creators put Friedman less than a quarter of the way down toward libertarian, and did the same to Badnarik. It's an obvious dig at capitalists as not being very good anarchists.

4) The libertarian-authoritarian line is never defined well. The test questions ask all sorts of off-subject questions about abstract art and sex but never about the legality of private, consensual actions. The test methodology is purposefully biased towards left-wing conceptions of libertarian, which means accepting the lifestyles of others rather than tolerating its legality; one need not accept Islam, Buddhism and the Dao in order to be libertarian about their practice, but you'd never see that distinction in the Political Compass.

5) By giving libertarian its own line, and separate from economic liberty, the test creators sought to make it seem as though capitalism is wholly unrelated to freedom. That's ridiculous. The point of the Nolan Chart is that private consensual acts are private, whether it's having sex with three people at once or working for a dollar an hour. By suggesting there's no necessary correlation between market freedom and real freedom, they're trying to send a socialist message.

Overall, I have a strong bias against the test, which seems to be an organized under-selling of libertarians. Faint-hearted capitalist politicians are given the hard push off to the right, as are socialist-minded Third Way politicians. But libertarians with near-anarchist arguments are only a tiny little scoot to the right of their far more moderate political leaders, yet are scarcely allowed below the libertarian-authoritarian border. Ridiculous.

But more to the point, freedom is freedom. If I can endanger my soul by worshipping false idols or no idol at all, if I can endanger my body by ingesting drugs, if I can endanger my mind by engaing in all manner of self-destructive sex, then why is it so fundamentally different to work for less than minimum wage or to keep the entirety of the product of my labor? Simply ridiculous.

I created the 3 Line Quiz for fun, but it was also in no small part because I thought the Political Compass was flawed and the Nolan Chart incomplete. I also wanted a test that was less focused on ego-boosting 'purity' results and on a more nuanced (that word has become so dirty ever since Kerry and his cronies molested it in the 2004 cmpaign) analysis. I wanted something that could illustrate the divisions between people who otherwise get the same results on a 2-axis quiz.

For more, see my Nolan Chart tutorial, the 3 Line Quiz, and the upcoming 4 Line Quiz.
3-Line Popularity
As it turns out, tons of people have taken the 3-Line Quiz and reported their scores. A plug on NationStates by Adriana brought in some reports and what appears to be possibly several hundred test-takers over a few days. I have maybe 3 dozen score reports, so I could now post a compilation of them. I'm not sure whether to count each person's three scores separately or linked together. It would be most interesting to see the combinations that are uncommon.

I'm more interested in refining it based on these test runs. I might need to adjust the questions to be clearer so that they're not overly narrow or overly broad. Still, an important part of the test is the preconceptions that a taker has; if I ask a certain question broadly then somebody's negative or positive interpretation of it betrays their biases on the issue.

The 4-line quiz is next. I need to rescore the questions a little bit, then I'll spend three years of my life doing the whole code by hand. I think I'll limit it to five rankings per line instead of seven, so that way I'll have fewer combinations I have to go through in the coding process.

After getting the 4-line done I might unify the 3-line into just one quiz for all three lines. Eventually I could try and run it all into one big 100-question test but as it stands the "7 Line Quiz" is awfully far away.

My main goal for the quiz at this point is to refine it sufficiently to give me a good idea of the test-taker's views. Then, in conjunction with a more conventional, policy-based quiz and the 4 Line, I'll be able to author Intelligence Reports for and about people. I'll send it out to some famous bloggers, see if they're interested in having an Intelligence Report written about them. They take the tests, I'll read them, look over some of their blog posts and be able to write a decent Intelligence Report.

If it works well and some big-time bloggers post their IRs with links here, then I'll start doing it for a small fee, largely in order to offset my bandwidth and hosting costs (I have thus far declined to put up ads or a paypal link). I'm not going to go into it with the expectation that I'll profit any off of this, or even break even, but I expect it to be fun.